Budget 2025 Simplified Sector Wise: Part 1

budget 2025

1. Infrastructure ๐Ÿ—๏ธ

Triggers:

  • Government Capex Plans & Growth Targets

Action:

  • Bullish: If capex allocation grows over 10% YoY, focus on infra, cement, steel, railways, and defense sectors.
  • Bearish: If capex growth is muted/delayed or allocation is below 10% YoY (negative for underperforming PSUs & EPC companies).


2. Renewable Energy Capex ๐ŸŒž๐Ÿ’จ

Triggers:

  • Bullish: If allocations for solar, wind, and hydrogen sectors increase and align with growth targets.
  • Bearish: If fiscal deficit constraints lead to cuts in renewable energy spending.

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3. Consumer Sectors ๐Ÿ›’๐Ÿš—

Triggers:

  • Tax relief for the middle class (unlikely, but if announced, could boost demand for autos, retail, and consumer durables).
  • Rural schemes like increased MSPs or MGNREGA funds could benefit FMCG and tractor companies.

Action:

  • Bullish: If rural/urban demand triggers are announced.
  • Bearish: If the government focuses entirely on populist/freebie spending.

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4. Banking & Financials ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿฆ

Triggers:

  • Credit growth support: Expansion of credit guarantees for MSMEs (positive for PSU and housing stocks).
  • Recapitalization of PSU banks (if announced, could lead to a rally in PSU banks).

Action:

  • Bullish: For banks with strong NIMs (Net Interest Margins) if credit growth accelerates.
  • Bearish: If NPAs rise due to populist farm loans or other measures.


5. Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare ๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿฅ

Triggers:

  • Higher health infrastructure spending: Allocations to Ayushman Bharat could benefit hospital chains and diagnostics.
  • R&D tax breaks: Could boost pharma innovators.

Action:

  • Bullish: If the budget prioritizes healthcare spending.
  • Bearish: If generic drug price controls are tightened.

Part 2 Coming Soon!
Stay tuned for more insights on the budget and its impact on key sectors.

Budget2024 #SectorWiseAnalysis #InvestSmart


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